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7 November, 2022

Hello and welcome to this week’s JMP Report

Last week we saw three stocks trade on the local exchange, BSP, KSL, and CCP. BSP traded 126,141 shares finishing the week unchanged at K12.41, KSL saw 2,084 shares trade up 5t toea while CCP traded 99,975 down 5t

Refer details below

WEEKLY MARKET REPORT | 3 November, 2022 – 4 November, 2022

STOCK QUANTITY CLOSING PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE 2021 FINAL DIV 2021 INTERIM YIELD % EX-DATE RECORD DATE PAYMENT DATE DRP MARKET CAP
BSP 126,141 12.41 K1.3400 K0.34 11.61 FRI 23 SEPT MON 26 SEPT FRI 14 OCT NO 5,317,971,001
 KSL 2,084 3.00 0.05 1.67 K0.1850 K0.0103 7.74 MON 5 SEPT TUE 6 SEPT TUE 4 OCT NO 64,817,259
STO 0 19.10 K0.2993 K0.26760 MON 22 AUG TUE 23 AUG THU 22 SEPT
KAM  0 0.95 10.00 YES 49,891,306
NCM  0 75.00 USD$0.075 K0.70422535 FRI 26 AUG MON 29 AUG FEB MON 29 AUG 33,774,150
NGP 0 0.70 32,123,490
CCP 99,975 1.85 -0.05 -2.70 K0.134 6.19 THU 16 JUN FRI 24 JUN THU 28 JUL YES 569,672,964
CPL 0 0.95 K0.04

THU 5 APR THU 14 APR FRI 29 APR 195,964,015

Dual Listed Stock – PNGX/ASX

BFL – $4.83 -7c

KSL – .875 +2c

NCM – $17.40 -41

STO – $8.00 + 23c

 

The Order Book starts the week as nett buyers of STO, KSL, CCP and BSP.

 

On the interest rate front, the 364 day TBill auction average came in at 4.22% a little weaker with the Bank offering 256mill and received 280mill in bids.

Finance company money is indicating a softening in demand with 365 day rates offered at 1.85%. I do expect to see another GIS tender in the 3rd week of November.

 

And for something different – US$

Gold – 1680

Crude Oil WT – 93.21

Silver – 20.86

Bitcoin  21137

Ethereum 5.25  

Litecoin 50

 

Attachments

Thank you to PwC for their EPB Newsletter.

 

Download | EPB Newsletter

 

 


What we’ve been reading this week

ADB Adopts New Operating Model to Meet Rapidly Changing Needs of Asia and the Pacific

ADB

The new operating model will enable ADB to increase its capacity as the region’s climate bank; strengthen its work to develop the private sector and mobilize private investments in the region; provide a larger range of high-quality development solutions for its developing member countries; and modernize ways of working to make it more responsive, agile and closer to clients.

MANILA, PHILIPPINES (31 October 2022) — The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has adopted a comprehensive reform road map, featuring a new operating model, to accelerate its transformation and more effectively serve the rapidly changing needs of its developing member countries in Asia and the Pacific.  

The new operating model will enable ADB to increase its capacity as the region’s climate bank; strengthen its work to develop the private sector and mobilize private investments in the region; provide a larger range of high-quality development solutions for its developing member countries; and modernize ways of working to make it more responsive, agile and closer to clients.   

These four key shifts will help ADB deliver on the ambitious development goals of its corporate strategy, Strategy 2030. 

The reforms are the most significant at ADB since 2002. 

“These reforms are both timely and essential,” said ADB President Masatsugu Asakawa. “Our new operating model will position us to better respond to the complex development challenges now faced by Asia and the Pacific. It builds on ADB’s core strength, our staff, to help us deliver solutions with the greatest development impact for the region.” 

The road map is the result of an organizational review, led by Mr. Asakawa, that began in June 2021 and was informed by views from ADB’s regional clients, Management, Board of Directors, and staff. The review process was guided by the principle of maximizing ADB’s development effectiveness. 

For ADB’s clients, the new operating model will enhance the experience of working with the Bank. ADB’s five regional departments—covering Central and West Asia, East Asia, the Pacific, South Asia, and Southeast Asia—and resident missions in countries with operations will become a single window for all ADB products and services, both sovereign and nonsovereign. Staff and expertise from the sectors, themes, and other specializations in which ADB operates will be consolidated, with increased deployment to regions and countries to offer a better range and quality of solutions, resulting in more staff working in the field, closer to clients. 

The new operating model is expected to roll out in the second quarter of 2023. A phased implementation will minimize disruptions to ADB’s clients and development partners. 

ADB is committed to achieving a prosperous, inclusive, resilient, and sustainable Asia and the Pacific, while sustaining its efforts to eradicate extreme poverty. Established in 1966, it is owned by 68 members—49 from the region. 

 


 

5 climate technologies you’ve probably never heard of – but could someday be on investor radars

Breakthrough Energy Summit

BY LISA STIFFLER on October 25, 2022 at 7:00 am

 

Sustainability: News covering the rapidly growing climate tech sector, funding in the space and other areas of innovation to protect our planet.

Hawaii is one of the places where researchers are working on ocean thermal energy conversion. Never heard of it? You’re not alone. (GeekWire Photo / Brent Roraback)

The race to replace fossil fuels with clean alternatives has triggered an explosion in climate tech innovation and funding. That includes a heightened interest in fields that have plugged along for years — nuclear power, batteries and biofuels — as well as more obscure technologies that most people have never heard of.

We came across five ideas (below) that surprised us at last week’s Breakthrough Energy Summit in Seattle, where entrepreneurs shared their progress in developing and deploying new tech, and leaders in the space offered their thoughts for the future.

Breakthrough Energy Ventures (BEV), the VC arm of the Breakthrough organization created by Bill Gates, has raised more than $2 billion in capital since launching in 2015. BEV’s goal is to back companies across the economy with the potential to scale their innovations worldwide.

“By now we have over 100 investments,” said Eric Toone, a BEV investment committee partner, speaking at the summit.

“So are we done? Of course, we’re not,” Toone said. “We’re nowhere close to done.”

Eric Toone speaking at the Breakthrough Energy Summit in Seattle on Oct. 19, 2022. (Breakthrough Energy Photo)

 

 

Toone introduced dozens of technologies at various stages of development, including some only starting to get attention as possible climate solutions.

He didn’t pitch any of the technologies as the next big investment for BEV, or suggest that they’ll be viable from a cost perspective. Instead, he emphasized how huge the challenge is to green every aspect of our incredibly energy-hungry economy and lifestyles. He suggested leaving no stone — ferrous iron oxide containing or otherwise — unturned in the pursuit of alternatives.

“We’re just at the very beginning,” Toone said. “Where there’s challenges, there’s opportunities. And there’s more opportunities here that I can possibly imagine. I’m incredibly excited about the future.”

Here are five of the lesser-known ideas:

Ocean current power

There are multiple ventures working on wave power, including some from the Pacific Northwest, as well as tidal power. Toone suggested a more obscure but massive source of marine energy: ocean current power. The amount of potential energy in ocean currents is 5 terawatts, Toone said. That’s about five times the energy generation capacity for the whole U.S.

“Just the Gulf Stream contains more energy than 21,000 Niagara Falls, more energy than 50 times all of the world’s rivers,” Toone said.

Ocean thermal energy conversion

The ocean has different temperatures, or thermal gradients, at different depths. It’s warmer at the surface, cooler deep underwater. Particularly in tropical areas, it’s possible to harness that temperature difference to generate electricity. The energy potential for ocean thermal energy conversion is a whopping 7 terawatts.

RELATED: Go inside the invite-only, climate tech summit in Seattle hosted by Bill Gates’ Breakthrough Energy

Ferrous iron oxide energy

There are meaningful efforts to boost geothermal energy production, which is already the top source of power for Iceland. But the Earth’s core has other power potential. That includes ferrous iron oxides that are found in abundant minerals. The iron can be used in oxidation-reduction chemical reactions with the possibility of capturing energy along the way.

Scientific research notes that the process, “would require the development of new technology, and certainly would be very costly. But the massive scale of the available resource perhaps justifies the effort.”

Biomining

One of the challenges to rapidly deploying climate friendly technologies is the need to mine minerals used in batteries and other devices. A strategy for harvesting these materials in a more environmental way is to use biomining. Biomining employs microorganisms (bacteria) to extract and concentrate metals from rock ores or mine waste. There are hopes that biomining could be applied to other environments such as soil and the ocean and include plants to perform some of the work.

Atmospheric water harvesting

The planet is already experiencing freshwater shortages and that will only worsen with time. Desalination of saltwater is expensive but doable — so long as you’re near a water source.

The atmosphere, it turns out, contains seven times as much water as all of the Earth’s surface water, Toone said. It’s expensive to harvest, “but in many geographies, it may be the best alternative,” he said. “We need new approaches to atmospheric water harvesting that can generate large quantities of water at low costs.”

 


WILL WE SEE A DEBT JUBILEE?

The great reset

Article courtesy of Ainslie Bullion

With trillions and even quadrillions of dollars of derivatives floating around the global financial markets, there are increasing references to “debt jubilees”. The term goes back to Biblical times, where God rested on the Sabbath, the seventh day. In the same vein, the seventh year was a sabbatical year. Then after seven sets of seven years, the 50th year would be a jubilee year where debts are forgiven, slaves are freed, and land lost to creditors in poor harvest years is returned.  

The concept and justification are a story as old as human civilization. As the total interest being paid throughout the system handicaps the economy and its participants to catastrophic levels, the only way out is a major shakeup. Examples of this go back as far as ancient Sumer and Babylon, more than 4,000 years ago. Ancient Kings were said to write off societal debts as a matter of public stability. 

Pandemic-era spending has set off surging inflation, and now that interest rates are rising up, debt-forgiveness is becoming more and more common. Student debt forgiveness in the United States has been slated, and the Vatican calls for debt relief for African nations on an annual basis. In 2000, $100 billion of developing country debt owed to G8 countries was written off, in principal. 

As the charts below show, debt and projected net interest as a percentage of GDP over the next thirty years is expected to snowball. 

debt and projected net interest as a percentage of GDP over the next thirty years

The most well documented example comes from the 6th Century BC in Athens, where Solon used a part debt jubilee to avoid a massive class based conflict. The disparity between the rich and poor had reached breaking point, and the poor could see their conditions deteriorating year on year. The rich had corrupted courts, which always ruled in their favour, and parts of the government were already under what we today would describe as ‘regulatory capture’. This is a scenario where the very people regulating an industry (pharmaceuticals for example), derive the majority of their organisational funding from the companies they are supposed to be policing. The result is regular citizens lose faith with all of the institutions, and violent revolt is the only option left. 

Globally, all of that sounds pretty familiar in 2022. So, how exactly do these “Jubilees” shake out? 

Solon devalued the currency (surprise, surprise) to reduce the burden of debtors. Next, they cut personal debts and stopped imprisoning people for debt. Tax debts were forgiven and mortgage interest written off. The most extreme aspect of the debt jubilee was the confiscation and redistribution of land. For creditors and asset holders, it all sounds pretty unappealing. That is the role of a Debt Jubilee however, to reset and reinvigorate the balance between the haves and have-nots, to wipe out the iniquities developed over previous generations. 

We may be heading for a debt jubilee, or a “Great Reset”. Looking back at history, there aren’t many good places to hide. The only things which couldn’t have been confiscated in those times, and today, are the physical precious metals, gold and silver, and crypto currencies on decentralised blockchains where the private key is held by the holder and not a government or bank. 

 
 

I hope you have enjoyed this weeks read, if you would like to have a confidential discussion around your investment journey or would like to discuss your Will, please feel free to contact me.

Regards,

Chris Hagan.

Head, Fixed Interest and Superannuation
JMP Securities

Level 1, Harbourside West, Stanley Esplanade
Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea

Mobile (PNG):+675 72319913
Mobile (Int): +61 414529814

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